Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.037541 0.040504 0.043612 0.047120 0.050975 0.055088 0.059819
2025-05-11 0.032622 0.036784 0.041390 0.046883 0.053284 0.060538 0.069424
2025-05-18 0.029266 0.034097 0.039659 0.046579 0.055014 0.065037 0.077955
2025-05-25 0.026872 0.032139 0.038401 0.046464 0.056667 0.069282 0.086265
2025-06-01 0.024709 0.030195 0.036894 0.045770 0.057365 0.072197 0.092933
2025-06-08 0.022825 0.028411 0.035390 0.044870 0.057602 0.074386 0.098658
2025-06-15 0.021403 0.027089 0.034341 0.044419 0.058306 0.077134 0.105245
2025-06-22 0.020184 0.025934 0.033406 0.044010 0.058969 0.079788 0.111819
2025-06-29 0.018948 0.024671 0.032233 0.043164 0.058916 0.081361 0.116851
2025-07-06 0.018311 0.024170 0.032046 0.043653 0.060753 0.085737 0.126411
2025-07-13 0.017572 0.023480 0.031547 0.043644 0.061830 0.089016 0.134489
2025-07-20 0.017068 0.023086 0.031430 0.044163 0.063699 0.093590 0.144993
2025-07-27 0.016354 0.022364 0.030813 0.043914 0.064392 0.096404 0.152892
2025-08-03 0.015719 0.021724 0.030279 0.043751 0.065195 0.099431 0.161406
2025-08-10 0.015104 0.021081 0.029705 0.043483 0.065798 0.102147 0.169588
2025-08-17 0.014578 0.020544 0.029258 0.043380 0.066643 0.105300 0.178812
2025-08-24 0.013953 0.019829 0.028504 0.042742 0.066553 0.106830 0.185136
2025-08-31 0.013322 0.019079 0.027662 0.041914 0.066081 0.107644 0.190141
2025-09-07 0.012832 0.018523 0.027095 0.041499 0.066279 0.109640 0.197603
2025-09-14 0.012382 0.018009 0.026570 0.041122 0.066512 0.111697 0.205349
2025-09-21 0.011867 0.017376 0.025828 0.040343 0.065984 0.112304 0.210166
2025-09-28 0.011654 0.017206 0.025816 0.040793 0.067670 0.117156 0.224303
2025-10-05 0.011353 0.016885 0.025547 0.040784 0.068516 0.120454 0.235432